Oscars 2022

[eurocheese]

(08-16-2021 11:30 AM)emmygrammyoscartony Wrote:  I really think Jennifer Hudson is going to be a serious possible winner with "Respect."

I could see her getting nominated, especially since she's never had a follow up nod to her Dreamgirls win. I love her but I don't see another win coming her way for this. Critics aren't loving the film and by the end of the season she'll be on the bubble for getting in. (It's also the type of performance I could see everyone overlooking until SAG or another awards group brings it back.) Personally, I thought she was good but I was hoping for a real knockout, and it wasn't that for me.

[malcolm1980]

My first predictions of the year, pre-fall festival edition:

It would be nice to revisit this before the end of the year to see how way off or frighteningly close I came.

BEST PICTURE
CODA
Dune
The French Dispatch
The Hand of God
House of Gucci
Mass
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
Soggy Bottom
tick...tick...BOOM

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING
Denis Villenueve, Dune
Paolo Sorrentino, The Hand of God
Guillermo Del Toro, Nightmare Alley
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Nicolas Cage, Pig
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield, tick...tick...BOOM
Will Smith, King Richard
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
Jennifer Hudson, Respect
Emilia Jones, CODA
Kristen Stewart, Spencer

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Bradley Cooper, Soggy Bottom
Jason Isaacs, Mass
Richard Jenkins, The Humans
Jared Leto, House of Gucci
Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Toni Collette, Nightmare Alley
Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Ann Dowd, Mass
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Marlee Matlin, CODA

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola, Hugo Guinness and Jason Schwartzman, The French Dispatch
Paolo Sorrentino, The Hand of God
Edgar Wright and Krysty Wilson-Cairns, Last Night in Soho
Fran Kranz, Mass
Paul Thomas Anderson, Soggy Bottom

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Sian Heder, CODA
Jon Spaihts, Eric Roth and Denis Villenueve, Dune
Becky Johnston and Roberto Bentivegna, House of Gucci
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Steven Levenson, tick...tick...BOOM!

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Belle
Encanto
Flee
Luca
The Mitchells vs. The Machines

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Greig Fraser, Dune
Robert Yeoman, The French Dispatch
Dan Laustsen, Nightmare Alley
Ari Wegner, The Power of the Dog
Bruno Delbonnel, The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST FILM EDITING
Joe Walker, Dune
Claire Simpson, House of Gucci
Paul Machliss, Last Night in Soho
Cam McLauchlin, Nightmare Alley
Peter Sciberras, The Power of the Dog

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Dune
House of Gucci
The French Dispatch
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Jenny Beavan, Cruella
Jacqueline West and Bob Morgan, Dune
Milena Canonero, The French Dispatch
Janty Yates, House of Gucci
Clint Ramos, Respect

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Hans Zimmer, Dune
Alexandre Desplat, The French Dispatch
Kris Bowers, King Richard
Alexandre Desplat, Nightmare Alley
Jonny Greenwood, The Power of the Dog

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"A Lin-Manuel Miranda song", Encanto
"Beyond the Shore", CODA
"Here I Am", Respect
"No Time to Die", No Time To Die
"So May We Start", Annette

BEST SOUND
Dune
Eternals
No Time To Die
The Power of the Dog
A Quiet Place Part II

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Dune
Eternals
Free Guy
Godzilla v. Kong
Spider-Man: No Way Home

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Cruella
Dune
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
House of Gucci
Spencer

[Dr.ciski77]

France is officially sending Titane, which at this point will almost assuredly finish as one of my top three favorite film of the year

[GGPartition]

Trailer for Netflix's new film Sandra Bullock and Viola Davis directed by Nora FIngscheidt.

[malcolm1980]

My revised predictions before the precursors start.

BEST PICTURE
Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don’t Look Up
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
Spencer
tick, tick…BOOM!

BEST DIRECTOR
Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Denis Villenueve, Dune
Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
Guillermo del Toro, Nightmare Alley
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog

BEST ACTOR
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Leonardo DiCaprio, Don’t Look Up
Andrew Garfield, tick, tick…BOOM!
Will Smith, King Richard
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

BEST ACTRESS
Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
Penelope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
Nicole Kidman, Being The Ricardos
Kristen Stewart, Spencer

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza
Robin de Jesus, tick, tick…BOOM!
Ciaran Hinds, Belfast
JK Simmons, Being the Ricardos
Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Caitriona Balfe, Belfast
Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Aunjanue Ellis, King Richard
Meryl Streep, Don’t Look Up

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Adam McKay, Don’t Look Up
Zach Baylin, King Richard
Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
Fran Kranz, Mass

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Aaron Sorkin, Being the Ricardos
Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter
Guillermo del Toro and Kim Morgan, Nightmare Alley
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Steven Levenson, tick, tick…BOOM!

[emmygrammyoscartony]

Boy, Gaga sure did fade fast. They say "House of Gucci" is a mess.

And "Being the Ricardos." I am trying my hardest to keep an open mind, but that trailer and, especially Kidman (and I love her!), look AWFUL.

[eurocheese]

Reviews for Kidman and the cast as a whole are glowing, from what I've heard. I wasn't impressed with the make up in the trailer but I'm a Kidman stan, and so excited to see what she can do. Stewart is excellent in Spencer, though, so I expect the Actress win is probably down to them.

[Dr.ciski77]

I saw Gucci at a guild screening in LA two weeks ago and couldn't say anything until now bc embargo but people left the theater in a state of shock. Like...collective trauma re: what we experienced in that room. It's one of the worst movies I've ever seen and yes, I worship Gaga but she's embarrassing in it. I'm a really good sport when it comes to making fun of Italy but Leto's performance almost hurt my feelings. It deserves nothing and that's what it's gonna get.

I think Actress is Kidman vs Stewart and any year where Nicole is an Oscar frontrunner is a good year for me. KStew has the charisma and skill set of an asparagus and I hated 'Spencer.'

Finally. 'The Power of the Dog' is incredible and I think it will easily lead the overall nomination count.

[malcolm1980]

How I see the Oscar race is going now:

BEST PICTURE

Pretty much locked in: Belfast, King Richard, The Power of the Dog.
Looking good: Dune, Licorice Pizza, West Side Story.
Fighting for a spot: CODA, Being the Ricardos, Don't Look Up, Nightmare Alley, tick, tick...BOOM!, The Tragedy of Macbeth
Possible longshots: C'mon, C'mon, Drive My Car, Flee, A Hero, The Lost Daughter, Parallel Mothers, Spencer, The French Dispatch, Cyrano.

BEST DIRECTOR

Pretty much locked in: Jane Campion.
Looking good: Steven Spielberg, Kenneth Branagh, Denis Villenueve, Paul Thomas Anderson.
Fighting for a spot: Guillermo Del Toro, Adam McKay, Joel Coen, Reinaldo Marcus Green, Sian Heder.
Possible longshots: Pedro Almodovar, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Ashgar Farhadi, Pablo Larrain, Julia Ducournau, Aaron Sorkin, Lin-Manuel Miranda, Wes Anderson.

BEST ACTOR

Pretty much locked in: Benedict Cumberbatch, Will Smith.
Looking good: Peter Dinklage, Andrew Garfield, Denzel Washington.
Fighting for a spot: Bradley Cooper, Leonardo DiCaprio, Joaquin Phoenix.
Possible longshots: Nicolas Cage, Clifton Collins Jr., Javier Bardem, Cooper Hoffman, Jude Hill, Simon Rex.

BEST ACTRESS

Pretty much locked in: Kristen Stewart
Looking good: Nicole Kidman, Olivia Colman.
Fighting for a spot: Jessica Chastain, Penelope Cruz, Lady Gaga, Alana Haim, Rachel Zegler.
Possible longshots: Jodie Comer, Jennifer Hudson, Emilia Jones, Renate Reinsve, Frances McDormand, Tessa Thompson.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Pretty much locked in: Ciaran Hinds, Kodi Smit-McPhee.
Looking good: Troy Kotsur, Jamie Dornan.
Fighting for a spot: Jesse Plemons, Jared Leto, JK Simmons, Ben Affleck, Bradley Cooper, Mike Faist, David Alvarez.
Possible longshots: Jon Bernthal, Richard Jenkins, Timothy Spall, Jason Isaacs, Reed Birney, Woody Norman, Robin de Jesus.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Pretty much locked in: Caitriona Balfe, Aunjanue Ellis.
Looking good: Kirsten Dunst, Ariana DeBose.
Fighting for a spot: Ruth Negga, Rita Moreno, Judi Dench, Marlee Matlin, Ann Dowd, Cate Blanchett, Meryl Streep.
Possible longshots: Nina Arianda, Jessie Buckley, Kathryn Hunter, Martha Plimpton, Olga Merediz, Rebecca Ferguson, Sally Hawkins.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

Pretty much locked in: Belfast, Licorice Pizza
Looking good: King Richard
Fighting for a spot: Being the Ricardos, C'mon, C'mon, Don't Look Up, A Hero, Mass, Parallel Mothers, Spencer, The Worst Person in the World.
Possible longshots: Pig, Red Rocket, Titane, The French Dispatch.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Pretty much locked in: The Power of the Dog
Looking good: The Lost Daughter, West Side Story
Fighting for a spot: CODA, Dune, tick, tick...BOOM!, Nightmare Alley, The Tragedy of Macbeth, Drive My Car
Possible longshots: Cyrano, House of Gucci, The Humans, Passing.

Did I miss anything?

[Brad]

Could be that I was just so-so on Power of the Dog, but I feel like I see a lot of predictions going for Campion, Cumberbatch and Smit-McPhee, and I just can’t see all three of those happening. The Academy generally likes to spread the wealth, and I just don’t see this as a juggernaut.