Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
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09-15-2022, 04:43 PM
(This post was last modified: 12-09-2022 08:26 PM by malcolm1980.)
Post: #1
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Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
EDIT: Here are my adjusted final predictions.
BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA Elvis The Fabelmans TÁR Top Gun: Maverick Women Talking BEST MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY Babylon The Banshees of Inisherin Everything, Everywhere All At Once Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery Triangle of Sadness BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA Austin Butler, Elvis Tom Cruise, Top Gun: Maverick Brendan Fraser, The Whale Paul Mescal, Aftersun Bill Nighy, Living BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA Cate Blanchett, TÁR Olivia Colman, Empire of Light Viola Davis, The Woman King Danielle Deadwyler, Till Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY Diego Calva, Babylon Daniel Craig, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin Ralph Fiennes, The Menu Adam Sandler, Hustle BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - MUSICAL or COMEDY Lesley Manville, Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery Margot Robbie, Babylon Emma Thompson, Good Luck to You, Leo Grande Michelle Yeoh, Everything, Everywhere All At Once BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE Paul Dano, The Fabelmans Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin Judd Hirsch, The Fabelmans Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Ben Whishaw, Women Talking BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE Jessie Buckley, Women Talking Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness Claire Foy, Women Talking BEST DIRECTOR FOR A MOTION PICTURE Todd Field, TÁR Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin Sarah Polley, Women Talking Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans Charlotte Wells, Aftersun BEST SCREENPLAY FOR A MOTION PICTURE Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness Sarah Polley, Women Talking BEST ORIGINAL SCORE FOR A MOTION PICTURE Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio Hildur Guðnadóttir, Women Talking Justin Hurwitz, Babylon Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, Empire of Light John Williams, The Fabelmans BEST ORIGINAL SONG FOR A MOTION PICTURE "Carolina", Where the Crawdads Sing; music & lyrics by Taylor Swift "Hold My Hand"; Top Gun: Maverick; music & lyrics by Lady Gaga and Michael Tucker "Lift Me Up", Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; music & lyrics by Rihanna, Ludwig Goransson, Ryan Coogler and Tems. "Naatu, Naatu", RRR; music by M.M. Keeravani & lyrics by Chandrabose. "Vegas", Elvis; music & lyrics by Doja Cat, Roget Chahayed and David Sprecher. BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM All Quiet on the Western Front, Germany Close, Belgium Decision to Leave, South Korea RRR, India Saint Omer, France BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Marcel the Shell With Shoes On My Father's Dragon Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Turning Red |
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09-19-2022, 11:15 AM
Post: #2
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
Fabelmans won TIFF. I could very well see a scenario where Spielberg wins Director and EEAAO still takes Picture.
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10-26-2022, 03:34 AM
Post: #3
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
The Gotham Award nominees
I haven't seen Women Talking yet but their other top nominated films are my top three films of the year so far, so I'm thrilled. I hope the A24 train keeps rolling into other award shows. |
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11-15-2022, 03:37 PM
Post: #4
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
Let me attempt to predict the Big 4 awards and find out how much I can get right:
NEW YORK FILM CRITICS CIRCLE Best Film: TÁR Best Director: Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans Best Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actress: Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness Best Screenplay: Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Cinematography: Jarin Blaschke, The Northman Best Non-Fiction Film: All The Beauty and the Bloodshed Best Animated Film: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Foreign-Language Film: Decision to Leave Best First Film: Charlotte Wells, Aftersun NATIONAL BOARD OF REVIEW Best Film: The Fabelmans Best Director: Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans Best Actor: Brendan Fraser, The Whale Best Actress: Danielle Deadwyler, Till Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt, Babylon Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, The Whale Best Original Screenplay: Daniel Scheinert and Daniel Kwan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Best Adapted Screenplay: Sarah Polley, Women Talking Best Animated Feature: Turning Red Breakthrough Performance: Austin Butler, Elvis Best Directorial Debut: Charlotte Wells, Aftersun Best Foreign Language Film: All Quiet on the Western Front Best Documentary: Navalny Best Ensemble: Women Talking Outstanding Achievement in Cinematography: Darius Khondji, Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths NBR Freedom of Expression Award: She Said Top 10: Babylon The Banshees of Inisherin Elvis Everything, Everywhere All At Once TÁR Till Top Gun: Maverick Triangle of Sadness The Whale Women Talking Top 5 Documentaries: All The Beauty and the Bloodshed Descendant Fire of Love Good Night, Oppy Sr. Top 5 Foreign-Language Films: Broker Close Decision to Leave The Quiet Girl RRR Top 10 Independent Films: Aftersun After Yang Armageddon Time Bones and All Causeway Cha Cha Real Smooth Good Luck to You, Leo Grande The Inspection Living The Wonder LOS ANGELES FILM CRITICS AWARDS Best Film: TÁR Best Director: Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave Best Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inisherin Best Screenplay: Todd Field, TÁR Best Cinematography: James Friend, All Quiet on the Western Front Best Production Design: Guy Davis and Curt Enderle, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Music Score: Alexandre Desplat, Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio Best Editing: Sang-beom Kim, Decision to Leave Best Documentary/Non-Fiction Film: All The Beauty and the Bloodshed Best Foreign-Language Film: Decision to Leave Best Animation: Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio NATIONAL SOCIETY OF FILM CRITICS Best Picture: TÁR Runners-up: Decision to Leave and The Fabelmans Best Director: Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave Runners-up: Todd Field and Steven Spielberg. Best Actor: Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin Runners-up: Brendan Fraser and Paul Mescal. Best Actress: Tang Wei, Decision to Leave Runners-up: Cate Blanchett and Michelle Yeoh. Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, Everything, Everywhere All At Once Runners-up: Brendan Gleeson and Ben Whishaw. Best Supporting Actress: Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness Runners-up: Janelle Monae and Kerry Condon. Best Screenplay: Todd Field, TÁR Runners-up: Women Talking and Everything, Everywhere All At Once Best Cinematography: Hoyte von Hoytema, Nope Runners-up: All Quiet on the Western Front and The Northman Best Non-Fiction Film: Navalny Runners-up: All The Beauty and the Bloodshed and Sr. |
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11-17-2022, 02:16 PM
Post: #5
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
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11-23-2022, 04:08 AM
Post: #6
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
The Spirit nominations are in.
Everything Everywhere All at Once leads, followed by TAR, Aftersun and Women Talking. All films in my personal top five for the year. 
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11-24-2022, 01:37 PM
Post: #7
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
Huge snub for The Whale
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11-27-2022, 06:58 PM
Post: #8
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
I don't like the gender neutral categories. It just doesn't work.
BUT! It helped Regina Hall get in and I'm stoked! |
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11-28-2022, 03:17 AM
Post: #9
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
As a gender-neutral person I appreciate them, but two winners instead of 4 does not work for me.
Interesting to see what's gonna happen in Best Actress. 'Tár' and 'Till' both flopped, 'Babylon' seems like a non-starter, Colman didn't catch on, Williams got very polarizing reviews and put herself in the wrong category anyway, Ackie is a bit of a question mark, and then there's a bunch of long shots. This leaves us with Yeoh as the safest bet at this point? |
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11-28-2022, 09:29 AM
Post: #10
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RE: Precursor Awards (2022-2023)
It feels like Blanchett vs. the Michelles at this point to me. I don't think box office is going to be the main factor this year - too many films not doing well. Blanchett currently feels like the one to beat, but if EEAAO leads the nomination count (which is possible), I might switch to Yeoh.
I'm not going to be all that surprised if they throw Williams in Supporting, where she will win easily without competition as frontrunner. But I need to see if there are any indicators before just assuming they'll do it. Her performance is definitely polarizing but if she lands in Actress, she'll be a major threat to win. |
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