Precursor Awards (2022-2023)

[NUguy514]

It seemed it at the time of the announcement and seems even more so now that it was very boneheaded for Williams to be pushed Lead since she would've seemingly had a Viola Davis-esque lock on Supporting, but since that opens up the field for Bassett or Hsu or Curtis (or others) to win, I won't complain.

[Culturegeek]

(12-17-2022 04:19 AM)NUguy514 Wrote:  It seemed it at the time of the announcement and seems even more so now that it was very boneheaded for Williams to be pushed Lead since she would've seemingly had a Viola Davis-esque lock on Supporting, but since that opens up the field for Bassett or Hsu or Curtis (or others) to win, I won't complain.

It's funny, because I suspect that in 2016, if Davis had gone lead, she would've been nominated ahead of Negga and beaten Stone (and I believe Williams, who won New York and National Society would've won supporting). I don't think going supporting for Fences was indefensible or anything - it is Troy/Denzel's movie first and her arc is subordinate to his - but I would've slotted her in lead myself.

[Dr.ciski77]

Having seen the film, I think she is so clearly supporting that I'm worried most voters will ignore her campaign and vote for her in supporting. The worry coming from the fact that it's a laughably terrible performance.

[Culturegeek]

I'm good with her being lead, though I definitely think it's a borderline case. I also think she's quite strong. It's fearless, nervy work from an actress who I wouldn't assume does stylization very well.

[misplaced validity]

The Black Film Critics Circle winners
Best Film: The Woman King
Best Director: Gina Prince-Bythewood – The Woman King
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser – The Whale
Best Actress: Danielle Deadwyler – Till
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Supporting Actress: Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Best Original Screenplay: Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Adapted Screenplay: (Tie) The Whale and Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Best Cinematography: Top Gun: Maverick
Best Documentary: Fire of Love
Best Animated: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Best Foreign Film: RRR
Best Ensemble: The Woman King

[emmygrammyoscartony]

Here is where we are thus far...

Picture
The Banshees of Inisherin - BOFCA, CFCA, NYFCO, PFCS
Everything Everywhere All at Once - AAFC, DFWFCA, FFCC, GA, IFJA, LAFCA, LVFCS, NTFCA, OAFFC, PFCC, SEFCA, UFCA, WAFCA
Return to Seoul - BSFC
She Said - NFCS
TÁR - LAFCA, NYFCC, SCA
Top Gun: Maverick - NBR
The Woman King - BFCC

Director
Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave - FFCC
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once - AAFC, BOFCS, CFCA, DFWFCA, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OAFFC, PFCC, PFCS, SEFCA, UFCA, WAFCA
Todd Field, TÁR - BSFC, IFJA, LAFCA, SCA
Martin McDonaugh, The Banshees of Inisherin - NYFCO
Gina Prince-Blythewood, The Woman King - BFCC
S.S. Rajamouli, RRR - NYFCC
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans - NBR

Lead Actor
Austin Butler, Elvis - SCA
Colin Farrell, The Banshees of Inisherin - AAFC, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, DFWFCA, FFCC, NBR, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, SEFCA, UFCA, WAFCA
Brendan Fraser, The Whale - BFCC, LVFCS, NFCS, NTFCA, PFCC, PFCS
Bill Nighy, Living - LAFCA

Lead Actress
Cate Blanchett, TÁR - AAFC, BOFCA, CFCA, DFWFCA, FFCC, IFJA, LAFCA, NYFCC, PFCC, PFCS, SCA, WAFCA
Danielle Deadwyler, Till - BFCC, GA
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All at Once - BSFC, LVFCS, NBR, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCO, OAFFC, SEFCA, UFCA

Supporting Actor
Brendan Gleeson, The Banshees of Inisherin - NBR, NYFCO
Ke Huy Quan, Everything Everywhere All at Once - AAFC, BFCC, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, DFWFCA, FFCC, GA, IFJA, LAFCA, LVFCS, NFCS, NTFCA, NYFCC, OAFFC, PFCC, PFCS, SCA, SEFCA, UFCA, WAFCA

Supporting Actress
Angela Bassett, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - BFCC
Jessie Buckley, Women Talking - FFCC
Hong Chau, The Whale - NYFCO
Kerry Condon, The Banshees of Inishiren - BSFC, BOFCA, CFCA, DFWFCA, SEFCA, WAFCA
Dolly de Leon, Triangle of Sadness - LAFCA
Nina Hoss, TAR - FFCC
Stephanie Hsu, Everything Everywhere All at Once - OAFFC, UFCA
Jamie Lee Curtis, Everything Everywhere All at Once - NFCS, NTFCA
Janelle Monae, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery - AAFC, LVFCS, NBR, PFCC
Carey Mulligan, She Said - SCA
Keke Palmer, Nope - NYFCC, PFCS

Adapted Screenplay
Kogonada, After Yang - BSFC
Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell, All Quiet on the Western Front - NBR
David Kajgonich, Bones and All - LVFCS
Rian Johnson, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery - WAFCA
Marcel the Shell with the Shoes On - UFCA
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio - BFCC
She Said - NFCS
The Whale - BFCC
Sarah Polley, Women Talking - CFCA, FFCC, IFJA, OAFFC, SEFCA, UFCA

Original Screenplay
Martin McDonaugh, The Banshees of Inisherin - AAFC, BOFCA, BSFC, CFCA, DFWFCA, NBR, NYFCC, NYFCO, OAFFC, PFCS, UFCA
Decision to Leave - FFCC
The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once - BFCC, LVFCS, NFCS, PFCC, SEFCA, WAFCA
Todd Field, TÁR - GA, IFJA, LAFCA, OAFFC, SCA, UFCA

Key of Precursors
BFCC - Black Film Critics Circle
BOFCA - Boston Online Film Critics Association
BSFC - Boston Society of Film Critics
CFCA - Chicago Film Critics Association
DFWFCA - Dallas/Ft. Worth Film Critics Association
FFCC - Florida Film Critics Circle
GA - Gotham Awards
IFJA - Indiana Film Journalists Association
LAFCA - Los Angeles Film Critics Association
LVFCS - Las Vegas Film Critics Society
NBR - National Board of Review
NFCS - Nevada Film Critics Society
NTFCA - North Texas Film Critics Association
NYFCC - New York Film Critics Circle
NYFCO - New York Film Critics Online
OAFFC - Online Association of Female Film Critics
PFCC - Philadelphia Film Critics Circle
PFCS - Phoenix Film Critics Society
SCA - Sunset Circle Awards
SEFCA - Southeastern Film Critics Association
UFCA - Utah Film Critics Association
WAFCA - Washington D.C. Area Film Critics Association

[malcolm1980]

National Society of Film Critics awards:

Best Picture: TÁR (61 points)
Runners-up: AFTERSUN (49 points), NO BEARS (32 points)

Best Film Not in the English Language: EO (43 points)
Runners-up: NO BEARS (37 points), DECISION TO LEAVE (34 points)

Best Director: Charlotte Wells, AFTERSUN (60 points)
Runners-up: Park Chan-wook, DECISION TO LEAVE (47 points), Jafar Panahi, NO BEARS (36 points)

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett, TÁR (59 points)
Runners-up: Michelle Yeoh, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (38 points), Tilda Swinton, THE ETERNAL DAUGHTER, and Michelle Williams, THE FABELMANS (27 points)

Best Actor: Colin Farrell, AFTER YANG and THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (71 points)
Runners-up: Paul Mescal, AFTERSUN (55 points), Bill Nighy, LIVING (33 points)

Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (57 points)
Runners-up: Nina Hoss, TÁR (43 points), Dolly de Leon, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (35 points)

Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE (45 points)
Runners-up: Brian Tyree Henry, CAUSEWAY (35 points), Barry Keoghan, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (27 points)

Best Screenplay: Todd Field, TÁR (61 points)
Runners-up: Martin McDonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN (42 points), James Gray, ARMAGEDDON TIME (18 points)

Best Nonfiction Film: ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED (46 points)
Runners-up: DESCENDANT (40 points), ALL THAT BREATHES (27 points)

Best Cinematography: Michał Dymek, EO (62 points)
Runners-up: Hoyte van Hoytema, NOPE (37 points), Kim Ji-yong, DECISION TO LEAVE (34 points)

[malcolm1980]

DGA, PGA and WGA predictions:

DGA

Outstanding Directorial Achievement in Motion Pictures
Edward Berger, All Quiet on the Western Front
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert, Everything, Everywhere All At Once
Baz Luhrmann, Elvis
Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans

Outstanding Directorial Achievement of a First-Time Feature Film Director
Colm Bairéad, The Quiet Girl
Elegance Bratton, The Inspection
Dean Fleischer-Camp, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On
Saim Sadiq, Joyland
Charlotte Wells, Aftersun

PGA

Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures

All Quiet on the Western Front
produced by Malte Grunert

Avatar: The Way of Water
produced by James Cameron and Jon Landau

The Banshees of Inisherin
produced by Graham Broadbent, Peter Czernin and Martin McDonagh

Elvis
produced by Gail Berman, Baz Luhrmann, Catherine Martin, Patrick McCormick and Schuyler Weiss

Everything, Everywhere All At Once
produced by Jonathan Wang.

The Fabelmans
produced by Tony Kushner, Kristie Macosko Krieger and Steven Spielberg

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
produced by Ram Bergman and Rian Johnson.

Tár
produced by Todd Field, Scott Lambert and Alexandra Milchan.

Top Gun: Maverick
produced by Jerry Bruckheimer, Tom Cruise, David Ellison and Christopher McQuarrie

The Whale
produced by Darren Aronofsky, Jeremy Dawson and Ari Handel.

The Woman King
produced by Viola Davis and Cathy Schulman.

Outstanding Producer of Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures

The Bad Guys
produced by Rebecca Huntley and Damon Ross.

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio
produced by Alexander Bulkley, Guillermo del Toro and Gary Ungar.

Marcel the Shell With Shoes On
produced by Andrew Goldman, Elisabeth Holm, Caroline Kaplan and Paul Mezey

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
produced by Mark Swift.

Turning Red
produced by Lindsey Collins.

WGA

Best Original Screenplay

Bros
written by Billy Eichner and Nicholas Stoller

Elvis
screenplay by Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce and Jeremy Doner.
story by Baz Luhrmann and Jeremy Doner.

Everything, Everywhere All At Once
written by Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

The Fabelmans
written by Tony Kushner and Steven Spielberg

Tár
written by Todd Field

Best Adapted Screenplay

Bones and All
screenplay by David Kajnagich
based on the novel by Camile DeAngelis

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
written by Rian Johnson
based on the previous film

She Said
screenplay by Rebecca Lenkiewicz
based on the New York Times investigation by Jodi Kantor, Megan Twohey and Rebecca Corbett and the book She Said: Breaking the Sexual Harassment Story That Helped Ignite a Movement by Jodi Kantor and Megan Twohey.

Top Gun: Maverick
screenplay by Ehren Kruger, Christopher McQuarrie and Eric Warren Singer.
story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks
based on the characters created by Jim Cash and Jack Epps Jr.

Women Talking
screenplay by Sarah Polley
based on the novel by Miriam Toews

[emmygrammyoscartony]

Globe predictions...

Drama: Elvis
Drama - Actor: Austin Butler
Drama - Actress: Ana de Armas
Comedy/Musical: The Banshees of Inisherin
Comedy/Musical Actor: Colin Farrell
Comedy/Musical Actress: Michelle Yeoh
Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
Supporting Actress: Jamie Lee Curtis
Director: Daniels
Screenplay: The Banshees of Inisherin
Animated Feature: Pinocchio
Foreign Film: All Quiet on the Western Front
Score: Babylon
Song: "Hold My Hand," Top Gun: Maverick

[emmygrammyoscartony]

Big wins for Bassett (!!!), Spielberg, and "Fabelmans" tonight. And Quan and Yeoh can give AMAZING speeches. DAMN!

The ceremony was shit, as usual.